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Preußen Münster U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 Prediction— Germany - U19 Bundesliga

Preliminary ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 09:30

Preußen Münster U19

PPG 1.59 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLW ·

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Arminia Bielefeld U19

PPG 1.48 · AWAY

LAST 5

WL ···

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.8%0-23.5%0-32.1%0-4+1.5%1 1-04.2%1-17.7%1-27.1%1-34.4%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.3%2-17.9%2-27.3%2-34.5%2-4+3.1%3 3-02.9%3-15.4%3-25.0%3-33.1%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-14.4%4+-24.1%4+-32.5%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.3% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 35.0% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 58.5% — — —

Away O1.5 55.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 2–1 7.9%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1✓ 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Preußen Münster U192.0

Arminia Bielefeld U191.8

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PREUSSEN MÜNSTER U19 · PPG 1.59

ARMINIA BIELEFELD U19 · PPG 1.48

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Preußen Münster U19 (H) 43.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Arminia Bielefeld U19 (A) 35.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Preußen Münster U19 face Arminia Bielefeld U19 in Germany - U19 Bundesliga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Preußen Münster U19 a 43% chance, the draw 22% and Arminia Bielefeld U19 35%, so Preußen Münster U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Preußen Münster U19 and 1.8 for Arminia Bielefeld U19 (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Preußen Münster U19 are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.48 for Arminia Bielefeld U19. This match finished 3-1.