Today / Germany - U19 Bundesliga / Osnabrück U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19

Osnabrück U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19 Prediction— Germany - U19 Bundesliga

Preliminary ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 09:00

Osnabrück U19

PPG 0.85 · HOME

LAST 5

DL ···

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Borussia Dortmund U19

PPG 2.02 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWD ·

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

xG gap -0.86 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-15.3%0-26.1%0-34.7%0-4+4.7%1 1-03.3%1-17.7%1-28.9%1-36.9%1-4+6.9%2 2-02.4%2-15.6%2-26.6%2-35.1%2-4+5.1%3 3-01.2%3-12.8%3-23.2%3-32.5%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.4%4+-21.6%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.6% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 53.4% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 40.0% — — —

Away O1.5 65.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 1–3 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Osnabrück U191.5

Borussia Dortmund U192.3

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

OSNABRÜCK U19 · PPG 0.85

BORUSSIA DORTMUND U19 · PPG 2.02

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.86 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Osnabrück U19 (H) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Borussia Dortmund U19 (A) 53.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Osnabrück U19 face Borussia Dortmund U19 in Germany - U19 Bundesliga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Osnabrück U19 a 25% chance, the draw 22% and Borussia Dortmund U19 53%, so Borussia Dortmund U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Osnabrück U19 and 2.3 for Borussia Dortmund U19 (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Osnabrück U19 are averaging 0.85 points per game versus 2.02 for Borussia Dortmund U19. This match finished 0-2.