Today / Germany - U19 Bundesliga / Rot-Weiss Essen U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19

Rot-Weiss Essen U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19 Prediction— Germany - U19 Bundesliga

Preliminary ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 09:00

Rot-Weiss Essen U19

PPG 1.68 · HOME

LAST 5

DWDL ·

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

MSV Duisburg U19

PPG 1.24 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWD ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-16.2%0-24.4%0-32.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-07.5%1-110.6%1-27.5%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-19.1%2-26.4%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.7%3-15.2%3-23.7%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.3%4+-22.3%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.9% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 29.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.6% — — —

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 48.8% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–0 6.4%

#5 1–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rot-Weiss Essen U191.7

MSV Duisburg U191.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ROT-WEISS ESSEN U19 · PPG 1.68

MSV DUISBURG U19 · PPG 1.24

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.30 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rot-Weiss Essen U19 (H) 45.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

MSV Duisburg U19 (A) 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rot-Weiss Essen U19 face MSV Duisburg U19 in Germany - U19 Bundesliga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rot-Weiss Essen U19 a 46% chance, the draw 25% and MSV Duisburg U19 29%, so Rot-Weiss Essen U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Rot-Weiss Essen U19 and 1.4 for MSV Duisburg U19 (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rot-Weiss Essen U19 are averaging 1.68 points per game versus 1.24 for MSV Duisburg U19. This match finished 0-3.