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Nürnberg U19 vs Dynamo Dresden U19 Prediction— Germany - U19 Bundesliga

Preliminary ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 09:00

Nürnberg U19

PPG 1.22 · HOME

LAST 5

LWL ··

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Dynamo Dresden U19

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLW ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.49 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.6%0-21.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.3%1-14.9%1-23.7%1-31.9%1-4+1.0%2 2-04.9%2-17.4%2-25.6%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.9%3-17.5%3-25.7%3-32.9%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-07.8%4+-111.8%4+-29.0%4+-34.5%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.7% — — —

Draw 15.4% — — —

Away win 20.8% — — —

Over 2.5 71.8% — — —

Over 3.5 51.6% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 78.4% — — —

Away O1.5 46.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.5%

#2 2–1 7.4%

#3 3–2 5.7%

#4 4–1 5.6%

#5 1–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nürnberg U193.0

Dynamo Dresden U191.5

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.8% · O3.5 PROB 51.6%

Form & verdict PPG

NÜRNBERG U19 · PPG 1.22

DYNAMO DRESDEN U19 · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.49 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Nürnberg U19 (H) 63.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dynamo Dresden U19 (A) 20.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nürnberg U19 face Dynamo Dresden U19 in Germany - U19 Bundesliga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nürnberg U19 a 64% chance, the draw 15% and Dynamo Dresden U19 21%, so Nürnberg U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Nürnberg U19 and 1.5 for Dynamo Dresden U19 (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nürnberg U19 are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 0.94 for Dynamo Dresden U19. This match finished 1-3.