Today / Germany - U19 Bundesliga / Mainz 05 U19 vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19

Mainz 05 U19 vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 Prediction— Germany - U19 Bundesliga

Preliminary ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 09:00

Mainz 05 U19

PPG 1.64 · HOME

LAST 5

DW ···

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Wehen Wiesbaden U19

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLL ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.64 for Home, form 1.64 vs 1.25 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-11.6%0-21.1%0-30.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.5%1-15.0%1-23.5%1-31.6%1-4+0.8%2 2-05.4%2-17.6%2-25.3%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.5%3-17.7%3-25.4%3-32.6%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-08.9%4+-112.5%4+-28.8%4+-34.2%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.9% — — —

Draw 15.5% — — —

Away win 20.7% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 48.1% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 78.4% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.7%

#2 2–1 7.6%

#3 1–1 5.0%

#4 4–1 5.9%

#5 1–2 3.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mainz 05 U193.1

Wehen Wiesbaden U191.4

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 48.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MAINZ 05 U19 · PPG 1.64

WEHEN WIESBADEN U19 · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.64 for Home, form 1.64 vs 1.25 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Mainz 05 U19 (H) 63.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 (A) 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mainz 05 U19 face Wehen Wiesbaden U19 in Germany - U19 Bundesliga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mainz 05 U19 a 64% chance, the draw 16% and Wehen Wiesbaden U19 21%, so Mainz 05 U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Mainz 05 U19 and 1.4 for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mainz 05 U19 are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.25 for Wehen Wiesbaden U19. This match finished 5-1.