Today / Germany - U19 Bundesliga / Magdeburg U19 vs Werder Bremen U19

Magdeburg U19 vs Werder Bremen U19 Prediction— Germany - U19 Bundesliga

Preliminary ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 09:00

Magdeburg U19

PPG 1.56 · HOME

LAST 5

WD ···

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Werder Bremen U19

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLD ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-12.3%0-21.9%0-31.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-03.6%1-16.0%1-25.0%1-32.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-04.8%2-17.9%2-26.5%2-33.6%2-4+2.1%3 3-04.2%3-16.9%3-25.7%3-33.1%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-18.6%4+-27.1%4+-33.9%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.9% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 24.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 6.0%

#2 2–2 6.5%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 3–1 6.9%

#5 1–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Magdeburg U192.6

Werder Bremen U191.6

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

MAGDEBURG U19 · PPG 1.56

WERDER BREMEN U19 · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.98 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Magdeburg U19 (H) 52.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Werder Bremen U19 (A) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Magdeburg U19 face Werder Bremen U19 in Germany - U19 Bundesliga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Magdeburg U19 a 53% chance, the draw 22% and Werder Bremen U19 25%, so Magdeburg U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Magdeburg U19 and 1.6 for Werder Bremen U19 (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Magdeburg U19 are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.06 for Werder Bremen U19. This match finished 1-1.