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Hoffenheim U19 vs Karlsruher SC U19 Prediction— Germany - U19 Bundesliga

Preliminary ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 09:00

Hoffenheim U19

PPG 2.09 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLW ·

7 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Karlsruher SC U19

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDL ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.69 for Home, form 2.09 vs 0.80 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.2%0-21.2%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-05.4%1-16.1%1-23.5%1-31.3%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.6%2-18.6%2-24.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-07.2%3-18.1%3-24.6%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-010.1%4+-111.4%4+-26.5%4+-32.4%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.6% — — —

Draw 15.9% — — —

Away win 18.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 47.6% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 69.4% — — —

Away O1.5 35.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.6%

#2 3–1 8.1%

#3 2–0 7.6%

#4 1–1 6.1%

#5 3–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hoffenheim U192.8

Karlsruher SC U191.1

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HOFFENHEIM U19 · PPG 2.09

KARLSRUHER SC U19 · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.69 for Home, form 2.09 vs 0.80 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Hoffenheim U19 (H) 65.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Karlsruher SC U19 (A) 18.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hoffenheim U19 face Karlsruher SC U19 in Germany - U19 Bundesliga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hoffenheim U19 a 66% chance, the draw 16% and Karlsruher SC U19 19%, so Hoffenheim U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Hoffenheim U19 and 1.1 for Karlsruher SC U19 (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hoffenheim U19 are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 0.80 for Karlsruher SC U19. This match finished 7-0.