Today / Germany - U19 Bundesliga / Energie Cottbus U19 vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19

Energie Cottbus U19 vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 Prediction— Germany - U19 Bundesliga

Preliminary ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 09:00

Energie Cottbus U19

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLW ·

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Carl Zeiss Jena U19

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-13.6%0-22.6%0-31.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-05.5%1-18.0%1-25.9%1-32.9%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.2%2-19.0%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.6%3-16.8%3-25.0%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-16.4%4+-24.7%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.1% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 24.4% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.0%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 3–1 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 1–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Energie Cottbus U192.3

Carl Zeiss Jena U191.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ENERGIE COTTBUS U19 · PPG 1.75

CARL ZEISS JENA U19 · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.78 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Energie Cottbus U19 (H) 53.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Carl Zeiss Jena U19 (A) 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Energie Cottbus U19 face Carl Zeiss Jena U19 in Germany - U19 Bundesliga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Energie Cottbus U19 a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Carl Zeiss Jena U19 24%, so Energie Cottbus U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Energie Cottbus U19 and 1.5 for Carl Zeiss Jena U19 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Energie Cottbus U19 are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.73 for Carl Zeiss Jena U19. This match finished 3-0.