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Alemannia Aachen U19 vs Borussia M'bach U19 Prediction— Germany - U19 Bundesliga

Preliminary ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 09:00

Alemannia Aachen U19

PPG 1.38 · HOME

LAST 5

LDL ··

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Borussia M'bach U19

PPG 1.51 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.5%0-24.0%0-33.0%0-4+2.8%1 1-03.0%1-16.8%1-27.6%1-35.7%1-4+5.4%2 2-02.9%2-16.4%2-27.2%2-35.4%2-4+5.1%3 3-01.8%3-14.1%3-24.6%3-33.4%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-13.0%4+-23.4%4+-32.5%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.6% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 43.6% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 48.1% — — —

BTTS 69.0% — — —

Home O1.5 54.9% — — —

Away O1.5 65.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.8%

#2 1–2 7.6%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.4%

#5 1–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Alemannia Aachen U191.9

Borussia M'bach U192.2

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 48.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ALEMANNIA AACHEN U19 · PPG 1.38

BORUSSIA M'BACH U19 · PPG 1.51

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.34 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Alemannia Aachen U19 (H) 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Borussia M'bach U19 (A) 43.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Alemannia Aachen U19 face Borussia M'bach U19 in Germany - U19 Bundesliga on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alemannia Aachen U19 a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Borussia M'bach U19 44%, so Borussia M'bach U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Alemannia Aachen U19 and 2.2 for Borussia M'bach U19 (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alemannia Aachen U19 are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.51 for Borussia M'bach U19. This match finished 2-4.