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Štětí vs Rapid Psáry Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie B

Group B · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 08:15

Štětí

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWL ·

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Rapid Psáry

PPG 1.16 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.10 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-16.6%0-25.5%0-33.1%0-4+1.8%1 1-06.2%1-110.3%1-28.6%1-34.8%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.8%2-18.1%2-26.7%2-33.7%2-4+2.3%3 3-02.5%3-14.2%3-23.5%3-31.9%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.3%4+-21.9%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% — — —

Draw 23.9% — — —

Away win 41.3% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.6% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 45.6% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 0–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Štětí1.6

Rapid Psáry1.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ŠTĚTÍ · PPG 1.30

RAPID PSÁRY · PPG 1.16

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.10 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Štětí (H) 34.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rapid Psáry (A) 41.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Štětí face Rapid Psáry in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie B on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Štětí a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Rapid Psáry 41%, so Rapid Psáry are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Štětí and 1.7 for Rapid Psáry (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Štětí are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.16 for Rapid Psáry. This match finished 1-0.