Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - East / Poprad vs Lokomotíva Košice

Poprad vs Lokomotíva Košice Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - East

East · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 16:30

Poprad logo
Poprad
PPG 1.40 · HOME
LAST 5
LWWW ·
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Lokomotíva Košice logo
Lokomotíva Košice
PPG 1.10 · AWAY
LAST 5
DWLW ·

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.87 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-16.3%0-22.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.3%1-111.0%1-25.0%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.8%2-19.8%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.4%3-15.7%3-22.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-13.8%4+-21.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.9%
Draw 24.9%
Away win 23.2%
Over 2.5 50.2%
Over 3.5 28.8%
BTTS 49.9%
Home O1.5 48.8%
Away O1.5 22.8%

League track record

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%
O2.5 78%
BTTS 22%
Score Hit 22%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%
#2 2–0 10.8%
#3 1–0 12.3%
#4 2–1 9.8%
#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Poprad1.8
Lokomotíva Košice0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

POPRAD · PPG 1.40

LOKOMOTÍVA KOŠICE · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.87 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Poprad (H) 51.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Lokomotíva Košice (A) 23.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Poprad face Lokomotíva Košice in Slovakia - 3. liga - East on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Poprad a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Lokomotíva Košice 23%, so Poprad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Poprad and 0.9 for Lokomotíva Košice (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Poprad are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.10 for Lokomotíva Košice. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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