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Taverne vs Wettswil-Bonstetten Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Group 3 · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 16:00

Taverne

PPG 1.59 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWL ·

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Wettswil-Bonstetten

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLD ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-16.8%0-25.0%0-32.5%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.4%1-110.9%1-28.0%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.9%2-18.7%2-26.4%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.1%3-14.7%3-23.4%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.7%4+-22.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.2% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 35.1% — — —

Over 2.5 57.9% — — —

Over 3.5 36.6% — — —

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 47.4% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 92%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–0 5.9%

#5 1–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Taverne1.6

Wettswil-Bonstetten1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.9% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TAVERNE · PPG 1.59

WETTSWIL-BONSTETTEN · PPG 1.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.12 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Taverne (H) 40.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wettswil-Bonstetten (A) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Taverne face Wettswil-Bonstetten in Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Taverne a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Wettswil-Bonstetten 35%, so Taverne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Taverne and 1.5 for Wettswil-Bonstetten (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Taverne are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.45 for Wettswil-Bonstetten. This match finished 3-1.