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Rokycany vs Křimice Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie A

Group A · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:00

Rokycany

PPG 1.84 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLW ·

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Křimice

PPG 1.52 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-18.7%0-24.8%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.2%1-112.5%1-27.0%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.0%2-19.0%2-25.0%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.9%3-14.3%3-22.4%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.1%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 28.6% — — —

Over 2.5 50.2% — — —

Over 3.5 28.4% — — —

BTTS 53.0% — — —

Home O1.5 40.0% — — —

Away O1.5 35.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 1–0 11.2%

#3 2–1 9.0%

#4 2–0 8.0%

#5 0–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rokycany1.4

Křimice1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 28.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ROKYCANY · PPG 1.84

KŘIMICE · PPG 1.52

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rokycany (H) 45.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Křimice (A) 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rokycany face Křimice in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie A on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rokycany a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Křimice 29%, so Rokycany are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Rokycany and 1.1 for Křimice (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rokycany are averaging 1.84 points per game versus 1.52 for Křimice. This match finished 0-2.