Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - East / Raslavice vs Kežmarok

Raslavice vs Kežmarok Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - East

East · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:30

Raslavice logo
Raslavice
PPG 1.82 · HOME
LAST 5
WWWL ·
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5
Kežmarok logo
Kežmarok
PPG 0.81 · AWAY
LAST 5
LLLL ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.31 for Home, form 1.82 vs 0.81 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-11.4%0-20.7%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-04.7%1-14.5%1-22.2%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.7%2-17.4%2-23.6%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.4%3-18.1%3-24.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-015.7%4+-115.3%4+-27.4%4+-32.4%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 75.8%
Draw 16.1%
Away win 8.1%
Over 2.5 67.3%
Over 3.5 47.6%
BTTS 54.7%
Home O1.5 78.4%
Away O1.5 27.0%

League track record

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%
O2.5 78%
BTTS 22%
Score Hit 22%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.4%
#2 3–1 8.1%
#3 2–0 7.7%
#4 2–1 7.4%
#5 1–1 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Raslavice3.3
Kežmarok1.0

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.6%

Form & verdict PPG

RASLAVICE · PPG 1.82

KEŽMAROK · PPG 0.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.31 for Home, form 1.82 vs 0.81 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Raslavice (H) 75.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 16.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Kežmarok (A) 8.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Raslavice face Kežmarok in Slovakia - 3. liga - East on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Raslavice a 76% chance, the draw 16% and Kežmarok 8%, so Raslavice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Raslavice and 1.0 for Kežmarok (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Raslavice are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 0.81 for Kežmarok. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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