Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - East / Lipany vs Vranov nad Topľou

Lipany vs Vranov nad Topľou Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - East

East · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:30

Lipany

PPG 2.02 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWW ·

8 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Vranov nad Topľou

PPG 0.81 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLL ·

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.88 for Home, form 2.02 vs 0.81 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.3%0-21.0%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.0%1-16.3%1-22.8%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.8%2-18.8%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.0%3-18.1%3-23.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-012.3%4+-111.1%4+-25.0%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.9% — — —

Draw 16.4% — — —

Away win 14.8% — — —

Over 2.5 64.6% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 65.9% — — —

Away O1.5 22.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 22%

Score Hit 22%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.8%

#2 3–0 9.0%

#3 2–1 8.8%

#4 1–1 6.3%

#5 3–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lipany2.8

Vranov nad Topľou0.9

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LIPANY · PPG 2.02

VRANOV NAD TOPĽOU · PPG 0.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.88 for Home, form 2.02 vs 0.81 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Lipany (H) 68.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vranov nad Topľou (A) 14.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lipany face Vranov nad Topľou in Slovakia - 3. liga - East on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lipany a 69% chance, the draw 16% and Vranov nad Topľou 15%, so Lipany are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Lipany and 0.9 for Vranov nad Topľou (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lipany are averaging 2.02 points per game versus 0.81 for Vranov nad Topľou. This match finished 8-1.