Today / Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 / Kosova vs Winterthur II

Kosova vs Winterthur II Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Group 3 · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Kosova

PPG 1.32 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWD ·

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Winterthur II

PPG 1.02 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-16.6%0-24.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.0%1-111.0%1-27.5%1-33.4%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.7%2-19.2%2-26.2%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.7%3-15.1%3-23.5%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.1%4+-22.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.5% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 29.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 48.5% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 92%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1✓ 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 1–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kosova1.7

Winterthur II1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KOSOVA · PPG 1.32

WINTERTHUR II · PPG 1.02

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kosova (H) 44.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Winterthur II (A) 29.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kosova face Winterthur II in Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kosova a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Winterthur II 29%, so Kosova are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Kosova and 1.4 for Winterthur II (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kosova are averaging 1.32 points per game versus 1.02 for Winterthur II. This match finished 2-1.