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Dietikon vs Widnau Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Group 3 · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Dietikon

PPG 1.84 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWD ·

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Widnau

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLL ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.23 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-13.7%0-22.0%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.9%1-18.5%1-24.5%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.1%2-19.7%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.0%3-17.5%3-24.0%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-17.3%4+-23.9%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.9% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 21.9% — — —

Over 2.5 59.8% — — —

Over 3.5 37.7% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 34.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 92%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–1✓ 9.7%

#3 2–0 9.1%

#4 1–2 4.5%

#5 3–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dietikon2.3

Widnau1.1

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DIETIKON · PPG 1.84

WIDNAU · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.23 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dietikon (H) 55.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Widnau (A) 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dietikon face Widnau in Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dietikon a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Widnau 22%, so Dietikon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Dietikon and 1.1 for Widnau (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dietikon are averaging 1.84 points per game versus 0.91 for Widnau. This match finished 2-1.