Today / Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 / Baden vs Eschen / Mauren

Baden vs Eschen / Mauren Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Group 3 · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Baden

PPG 1.59 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWW ·

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Eschen / Mauren

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLD ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.85 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-13.7%0-22.6%0-31.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-06.0%1-18.3%1-25.8%1-32.7%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.7%2-19.3%2-26.4%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.0%3-16.9%3-24.8%3-32.2%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-16.5%4+-24.5%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.8% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 24.8% — — —

Over 2.5 63.2% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 92%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 3–1✓ 6.9%

#4 1–2 5.8%

#5 2–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baden2.2

Eschen / Mauren1.4

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BADEN · PPG 1.59

ESCHEN / MAUREN · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.85 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Baden (H) 52.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eschen / Mauren (A) 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Baden face Eschen / Mauren in Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baden a 53% chance, the draw 22% and Eschen / Mauren 25%, so Baden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Baden and 1.4 for Eschen / Mauren (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baden are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.30 for Eschen / Mauren. This match finished 3-1.