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Górnik Zabrze U19 vs Polonia Warszawa U19 Prediction— Poland - Central Youth League

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:00

Górnik Zabrze U19 logo
Górnik Zabrze U19
PPG 1.54 · HOME
LAST 5
DDDL ·
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Polonia Warszawa U19 logo
Polonia Warszawa U19
PPG 1.20 · AWAY
LAST 5
LLDW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.77 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-14.5%0-22.9%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.2%1-19.3%1-26.0%1-32.6%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.4%2-19.6%2-26.2%2-32.7%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.1%3-16.6%3-24.3%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-15.5%4+-23.5%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 52.8%
Draw 22.8%
Away win 24.4%
Over 2.5 60.6%
Over 3.5 39.0%
BTTS 61.3%
Home O1.5 59.6%
Away O1.5 37.5%

League track record

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 50%
BTTS 38%
Score Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%
#2 2–1 9.6%
#3 2–0 7.4%
#4 1–2 6.0%
#5 3–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Górnik Zabrze U192.1
Polonia Warszawa U191.3

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GÓRNIK ZABRZE U19 · PPG 1.54

POLONIA WARSZAWA U19 · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.77 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Górnik Zabrze U19 (H) 52.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Polonia Warszawa U19 (A) 24.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Górnik Zabrze U19 face Polonia Warszawa U19 in Poland - Central Youth League on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Górnik Zabrze U19 a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Polonia Warszawa U19 24%, so Górnik Zabrze U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Górnik Zabrze U19 and 1.3 for Polonia Warszawa U19 (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Górnik Zabrze U19 are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.20 for Polonia Warszawa U19. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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