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Lech Poznań U19 vs Wisła Kraków U19 Prediction— Poland - Central Youth League

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 10:00

Lech Poznań U19 logo
Lech Poznań U19
PPG 1.98 · HOME
LAST 5
WWLL ·
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Wisła Kraków U19 logo
Wisła Kraków U19
PPG 1.87 · AWAY
LAST 5
WDWW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-12.3%0-21.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-03.7%1-16.0%1-24.8%1-32.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.0%2-18.0%2-26.4%2-33.4%2-4+2.0%3 3-04.4%3-17.1%3-25.7%3-33.0%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-18.9%4+-27.2%4+-33.8%4+-4+2.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 53.4%
Draw 22.0%
Away win 24.7%
Over 2.5 67.3%
Over 3.5 47.6%
BTTS 63.2%
Home O1.5 65.1%
Away O1.5 48.5%

League track record

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 50%
BTTS 38%
Score Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.0%
#2 2–1 8.0%
#3 2–2 6.4%
#4 3–1 7.1%
#5 1–2 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lech Poznań U192.7
Wisła Kraków U191.6

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LECH POZNAŃ U19 · PPG 1.98

WISŁA KRAKÓW U19 · PPG 1.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.06 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Lech Poznań U19 (H) 53.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Wisła Kraków U19 (A) 24.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lech Poznań U19 face Wisła Kraków U19 in Poland - Central Youth League on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lech Poznań U19 a 53% chance, the draw 22% and Wisła Kraków U19 25%, so Lech Poznań U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Lech Poznań U19 and 1.6 for Wisła Kraków U19 (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lech Poznań U19 are averaging 1.98 points per game versus 1.87 for Wisła Kraków U19. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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