Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - West / Trenčín II vs Komárno II

Trenčín II vs Komárno II Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - West

West · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 08:30

Trenčín II

PPG 2.20 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDL ·

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Komárno II

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDL ·

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.80 for Home, form 2.20 vs 0.67 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-10.8%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.1%1-13.1%1-21.6%1-30.5%1-4+0.2%2 2-05.8%2-15.9%2-23.0%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.4%3-17.5%3-23.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-019.3%4+-119.5%4+-29.8%4+-33.3%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 74.7% — — —

Draw 15.4% — — —

Away win 9.8% — — —

Over 2.5 72.0% — — —

Over 3.5 52.1% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 78.4% — — —

Away O1.5 31.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.5%

#2 3–0 7.4%

#3 4–1 7.2%

#4 4–0 7.1%

#5 1–1✓ 3.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trenčín II3.8

Komárno II1.0

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TRENČÍN II · PPG 2.20

KOMÁRNO II · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.80 for Home, form 2.20 vs 0.67 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Trenčín II (H) 74.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Komárno II (A) 9.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Trenčín II face Komárno II in Slovakia - 3. liga - West on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trenčín II a 75% chance, the draw 15% and Komárno II 10%, so Trenčín II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for Trenčín II and 1.0 for Komárno II (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trenčín II are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 0.67 for Komárno II. This match finished 1-1.