Today / Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie A / Slavoj Český Krumlov vs Milevsko

Slavoj Český Krumlov vs Milevsko Prediction— Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie A

Group A · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 08:15

Slavoj Český Krumlov

PPG 1.05 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWL ·

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Milevsko

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-14.7%0-24.1%0-32.3%0-4+1.5%1 1-05.1%1-18.9%1-27.6%1-34.4%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.8%2-18.3%2-27.1%2-34.1%2-4+2.6%3 3-03.0%3-15.2%3-24.5%3-32.6%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-13.7%4+-23.2%4+-31.8%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.0% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 38.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 40.5% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 54.9% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 17%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 1–2 7.6%

#3 2–1✓ 8.3%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavoj Český Krumlov1.9

Milevsko1.7

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVOJ ČESKÝ KRUMLOV · PPG 1.05

MILEVSKO · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.15 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Slavoj Český Krumlov (H) 39.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Milevsko (A) 38.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavoj Český Krumlov face Milevsko in Czech-Republic - 4. liga - Divizie A on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavoj Český Krumlov a 39% chance, the draw 23% and Milevsko 38%, so Slavoj Český Krumlov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Slavoj Český Krumlov and 1.7 for Milevsko (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavoj Český Krumlov are averaging 1.05 points per game versus 0.94 for Milevsko. This match finished 2-1.