Today / Slovakia - 3. liga - West / MŠK Senec vs DAC II

MŠK Senec vs DAC II Prediction— Slovakia - 3. liga - West

West · Matchday 3 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 16:30

MŠK Senec

PPG 2.02 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLL ·

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

DAC II

PPG 0.65 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-13.7%0-21.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.4%1-18.5%1-24.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.6%2-19.8%2-24.9%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.4%3-17.5%3-23.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-07.3%4+-17.4%4+-23.7%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.7% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 22.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.4% — — —

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 32.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.6%

#4 1–2 4.3%

#5 3–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MŠK Senec2.3

DAC II1.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MŠK SENEC · PPG 2.02

DAC II · PPG 0.65

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.29 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

MŠK Senec (H) 55.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

DAC II (A) 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

MŠK Senec face DAC II in Slovakia - 3. liga - West on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MŠK Senec a 56% chance, the draw 22% and DAC II 22%, so MŠK Senec are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for MŠK Senec and 1.0 for DAC II (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MŠK Senec are averaging 2.02 points per game versus 0.65 for DAC II. This match finished 0-2.