Today / Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 / Tuggen vs Dietikon

Tuggen vs Dietikon Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Group 3 · Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 19, 2026, 18:00

Tuggen

PPG 2.13 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWW ·

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Dietikon

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWD ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-13.5%0-22.3%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-06.1%1-18.1%1-25.3%1-32.4%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.1%2-19.3%2-26.2%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.4%3-17.2%3-24.7%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-17.1%4+-24.7%4+-32.1%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.5% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 23.2% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 39.4% — — —

BTTS 55.6% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 92%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 2–2 6.2%

#4 3–1✓ 7.2%

#5 2–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tuggen2.3

Dietikon1.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TUGGEN · PPG 2.13

DIETIKON · PPG 1.35

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.99 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Tuggen (H) 52.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dietikon (A) 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tuggen face Dietikon in Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 on Wednesday, August 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tuggen a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Dietikon 23%, so Tuggen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Tuggen and 1.3 for Dietikon (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tuggen are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.35 for Dietikon. This match finished 3-1.