Today / Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 / St. Gallen II vs Taverne

St. Gallen II vs Taverne Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Group 3 · Matchday 2 ·Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 14:00

St. Gallen II

PPG 1.39 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWL ·

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Taverne

PPG 1.74 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDWL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-15.8%0-25.0%0-32.9%0-4+1.8%1 1-05.6%1-19.7%1-28.3%1-34.8%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.7%2-18.1%2-27.0%2-34.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-02.6%3-14.5%3-23.9%3-32.2%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.7%4+-22.4%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.4% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 35.8% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 37.4% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 48.6% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 92%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 2–1 8.1%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 2–2✓ 7.0%

#5 2–0 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

St. Gallen II1.7

Taverne1.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ST. GALLEN II · PPG 1.39

TAVERNE · PPG 1.74

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

St. Gallen II (H) 39.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Taverne (A) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

St. Gallen II face Taverne in Switzerland - 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 on Tuesday, August 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives St. Gallen II a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Taverne 36%, so St. Gallen II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for St. Gallen II and 1.7 for Taverne (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, St. Gallen II are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.74 for Taverne. This match finished 2-2.