Today / Hungary - NB III - Northwest / Pápai Perutz vs Veszprém

Pápai Perutz vs Veszprém Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Northwest · Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 17:00

Pápai Perutz

PPG 0.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Veszprém

PPG 1.76 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.63 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-19.2%0-28.3%0-35.0%0-4+3.4%1 1-06.0%1-110.8%1-29.7%1-35.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.5%2-16.3%2-25.7%2-33.4%2-4+2.3%3 3-01.4%3-12.5%3-22.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.1% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 46.6% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 54.1% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob54.1%

A 47% / xG 1.2-1.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 8.3%

#4 0–1 9.2%

#5 0–0 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pápai Perutz1.2

Veszprém1.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PÁPAI PERUTZ · PPG 0.88

VESZPRÉM · PPG 1.76

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.63 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Pápai Perutz (H) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Veszprém (A) 46.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pápai Perutz face Veszprém in Hungary - NB III - Northwest on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pápai Perutz a 26% chance, the draw 27% and Veszprém 47%, so Veszprém are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Pápai Perutz and 1.8 for Veszprém (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pápai Perutz are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.76 for Veszprém.

Pápai Perutz vs Veszprém Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Match Preview & Prediction

More Hungary - NB III - Northwest Predictions