Today / Hungary - NB III - Northwest / Tatabánya vs Bicskei

Tatabánya vs Bicskei Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Northwest · Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 15:30

Tatabánya logo
Tatabánya
PPG 1.78 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Bicskei logo
Bicskei
PPG 1.04 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-14.7%0-23.2%0-31.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.0%1-19.4%1-26.4%1-32.9%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.0%2-19.5%2-26.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.7%3-16.3%3-24.3%3-31.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-15.0%4+-23.4%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 52.2%
Draw 22.1%
Away win 25.7%
Over 2.5 63.7%
Over 3.5 41.4%
BTTS 62.9%
Home O1.5 55.4%
Away O1.5 43.7%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.9%

H 52% / xG 2.0-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%
#2 2–1 9.5%
#3 2–0 7.0%
#4 2–2 6.4%
#5 1–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tatabánya2.0
Bicskei1.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 41.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TATABÁNYA · PPG 1.78

BICSKEI · PPG 1.04

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Tatabánya (H) 52.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Bicskei (A) 25.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tatabánya face Bicskei in Hungary - NB III - Northwest on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tatabánya a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Bicskei 26%, so Tatabánya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Tatabánya and 1.4 for Bicskei (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tatabánya are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.04 for Bicskei.

PredictVantage

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