Today / Chile - Segunda División / General Velásquez vs Trasandino

General Velásquez vs Trasandino Prediction— Chile - Segunda División

Final ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 19:00

General Velásquez

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Trasandino

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-111.6%0-26.5%0-32.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.8%1-113.3%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.8%2-17.6%2-24.3%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.6%3-12.9%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.8% 46.5% 2.15 -14.4%

Draw 28.3% 29.9% 3.35 -3.1%

Away win 31.9% 33.3% 3.00 -4.3%

Over 2.5 47.6% 54.6% 1.83 -12.9%

Over 3.5 28.7% 32.3% 3.10 -6.6%

BTTS 52.3% 60.6% 1.65 -13.7%

Home O1.5 35.0% 48.8% 2.05 -28.2%

Away O1.5 36.4% 39.2% 2.55 -7.2%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.3%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.3%

#3 1–0 11.8%

#4 0–1 11.6%

#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

General Velásquez1.1

Trasandino1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GENERAL VELÁSQUEZ · PPG 1.67

TRASANDINO · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.02, combined xG 2.27 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

General Velásquez (H) 39.8%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -14.4%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -3.1%

Trasandino (A) 31.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -4.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

General Velásquez face Trasandino in Chile - Segunda División on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives General Velásquez a 40% chance, the draw 28% and Trasandino 32%, so General Velásquez are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for General Velásquez and 1.1 for Trasandino (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, General Velásquez are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.33 for Trasandino.