Today / Turkey - 3. Lig - Group 4 / Soke 1970 vs Kutahyaspor

Soke 1970 vs Kutahyaspor Prediction— Turkey - 3. Lig - Group 4

Group 4 - 30 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

Soke 1970

PPG 1.14 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Kutahyaspor

PPG 2.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.64) vs Home AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-110.4%0-213.4%0-311.6%0-4+14.0%1 1-02.5%1-16.5%1-28.4%1-37.3%1-4+8.8%2 2-00.8%2-12.0%2-22.6%2-32.3%2-4+2.7%3 3-00.2%3-10.4%3-20.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 6.8% — — —

Draw 13.7% — — —

Away win 79.5% — — —

Over 2.5 62.4% — — —

Over 3.5 40.1% — — —

BTTS 43.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob43.1%

A 80% / xG 0.6-2.6 / O2.5 62% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.4%

#2 0–3 11.6%

#3 0–1 10.4%

#4 1–2 8.4%

#5 0–4 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Soke 19700.6

Kutahyaspor2.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.4% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SOKE 1970 · PPG 1.14

KUTAHYASPOR · PPG 2.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.64) vs Home AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Soke 1970 (H) 6.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 13.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kutahyaspor (A) 79.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Soke 1970 face Kutahyaspor in Turkey - 3. Lig - Group 4 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Soke 1970 a 7% chance, the draw 14% and Kutahyaspor 80%, so Kutahyaspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Soke 1970 and 2.6 for Kutahyaspor (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Soke 1970 are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 2.64 for Kutahyaspor. This match finished 1-0.